Housing Market Forecast: What’s Ahead for the 2nd Half of 2024

 
As we move into the second half of 2024, here’s what experts say you should expect for home prices, mortgage rates, and home sales. 

Home Prices Are Expected To Climb Moderately 
Home prices are forecasted to rise at a more normal pace. The graph below shows the latest forecasts from seven of the most trusted sources in the industry: 

 
 
The reason for continued appreciation? The supply of homes for sale. Jessica Lautz, Deputy Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains: 
“One thing that seems pretty solid is that home prices are going to continue to go up because we don’t have housing inventory.” 
 
While inventory is up compared to the last few years, it’s still low overall. And because there still aren’t enough homes, that’ll keep upward pressure on prices. 
If you’re considering buying, the good news is you won’t have to deal with prices skyrocketing like they did during the pandemic. Just remember, prices may not drop. They’ll continue climbing, just at a slower pace. 

Getting into the market sooner rather than later could save you money in the long run. Plus, you can feel confident experts say your home will grow in value after you buy it. 

Mortgage Rates Are Forecast To Come Down Slightly 
One of the best pieces of news for both buyers and sellers is that mortgage rates are expected to come down a bit, according to Fannie Mae, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA), and NAR (see chart below): 

When you buy, even a tiny drop in mortgage rates can make a big difference in your monthly payments. For sellers, lower rates will bring more buyers back into the market, which can help you sell faster and potentially at a higher price. Plus, it may help you get off the fence if you’ve hesitated to sell due to today’s rates. 
 
Home Sales Are Projected To Hold Steady 
For 2024, the number of home sales will be about the same as last year and may rise slightly. The graph below compares the 2024 home sales forecasts from Fannie Mae, MBA, and NAR to the 4.8 million homes that sold last year: 

 
The average of the three forecasts is about 5 million sales in 2024 – a slight increase from 2023. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at NAR, explains why: 
“Job gains, steady mortgage rates, and inventory release from pent-up home sellers will lead to more sales.” 
With more inventory and mortgage rates expected to decrease, more homes will be sold this year than last year. This scenario means more people will be able to move. Let’s work together to make sure you’re one of them. 
 
In Conclusion
If you have any questions or need help navigating the market, contact The Aaronson Group.   Call: 949-388-5194 or email info@previewochomes.com

 


 

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